Liberty Global Inc. (LBTYA, LBTYC)

LBTYA/LBTYC are two stocks for the same company, just different classes. They provide voice, video, and broadband Internet services. Some of its competitors are also seeing positive order flow coming in, such as CMCSA, DTV, VIA-B, TWC, and DISH. LBTYA is a 10+ long on the charts, 10 above the 20, above the 50, above the 200.

It has been rallying from a breakout starting September 1st, 2010 and has had only 8 days since that closed lower than the open, all of which never dipped below the previous 5-6 day range. Significant volume started coming in on October 15th and since then the lowest volume day was a down day on 2.2million shares traded, while the other days usually have a range of 3-4 million shares traded. Unfortunately the ATR for this stock is only 0.67 but the beta is 1.44. Today is unfolding very bullish, it could be an energy candle.

The hourly chart looks very orderly and easy to trade, it doesn’t pull back hard or gap around much. But again this stock does not move too far, usually about 40 to 50 cents a day. If you are looking to trade this sector, which is pretty bullish, this is definitely a stock to trade, either intraday or swing trade.

The Trader Talk Think Tank

Announcing an unprecedented opportunity to learn…

We are visiting Chicago and Philadelphia!

Keystone Trading Concepts presents the

Trader Talk Think Tank

Each month in our NYC office Keystone Trading hosts and moderates a two hour networking event that empowers our attendees to:

· Discover how to assess market conditions like a professional for the upcoming quarter

· Gain insight into which sectors have the lowest risk opportunities

· Discuss ideas you have previously traded and new ideas you are considering

· Review of previous Game Plans and how Keystone’s proprietary traders and students executed those ideas with real money

· Get a glimpse into the Keystone Trading Plan and how we plan to attack the markets in the coming week

Additional topics on the schedule include:

· The most common and (most costly) stock trading mistake and how to avoid it

· How to eliminate the anxiety caused by reading your brokerage statement

· The difference between a risk only trade versus a trade with a high probability to earn money

· How to qualify to trade firm capital for Keystone (remotely)

On Wednesday October 27th at 7:00pm EDT Keystone Trading Concepts will be hosting a preview webinar for the next Trader Talk Think Tank to be held in Chicago at the Sofitel hotel on Monday, November 8th 2010.

During the Preview Webinar we will be discussing the top 5 reasons why attending the Chicago

Trader Talk Think Tank on November 8th will stimulate new ideas for you, learn how a professional trading firm allocates capital to scenarios and most likely develop some great new friendships.

Think Tank attendance has no fee with pre-registration however we normally have standing room only so there is a $75 fee at the door for those without an entrance ticket.

We strongly encourage registering with a friend or spouse!

Once again the preview webinar for the Chicago Think Tank is this Wednesday , October 27th at 7:00pm EDT, (6pm in Chicago) .

Please call 212-594-8900 to Reserve your spot Today!

Breakout Trade $RIMM $$

Day after day we as traders are in search of opportunity.  I have many conversations with traders who complain at the end of the day that this market is void of good trades.  They complain that there is only 30 minutes to an hours worth of good trading a day.  The problem these traders are having is that they are not in the right stocks.  The majority of our time should be spent looking for stocks that are going to move plus be readable. 

Today was a perfect example of being in the right stock.  The market as a whole was flat and basically trendless on the day.  Even though this was the case I ended the day thinking it was an easy day.  Why? Because I was in the right stock. 

On the open today there was one stock on my radar, Research in Motion (RIMM).  The previous day RIMM traded very well, with volume, and closed strong.  I was watching the stock trade in the pre-market and right around 915-920 RIMM started to show some strength on the tape.  My game plan was to get long around the previous days high.  This entry triggered at 933 and I got long.  This was the definition of a breakout trade as I was booking half of my trade for a point within 6 minutes.  The reason I booked is the market lately has been retracing opening moves only to resume them later on in the day.  The correct way to trade this breakout was to book some of the trade in order to manage risk.  RIMM ended up pulling back a bit but was still exhibiting strength on the tape so I added back in around the 53 level.  As you can see from the chart this was a good idea as I got another point out of the trade before exiting most of the trade during the consolidation of the move around 1030-11.  I reentered the trade when volume picked up at the 55 level and the bid held after the break.  I got a quick .90 on this trade before I recognized exhaustion coming and exited.  The tape started to get erratic and I knew this was the time to get out as something was changing about the way RIMM was trading. 

The key to this trade was that I was ready for it.  I had a game plan and the plan executed.  Many traders spend their time complaining about moves they missed or trades they mismanaged.  The reason for this is that they don’t have a good plan about what they are going to do.  Spend your time developing trade scenarios and spend the market hours executing your plan.  Best of luck in your trading. 

Kyle

Setting Up Your Day

Going into today preparation was the key.  Talking with most of the traders on our desk, last week was a very frustrating week.  I know for myself the important thing was to not get frustrated, review the week, and come into today with an objective view of the market and what stocks I would be trading.  Last week the market had been flat and trading was very stock specific. 

In our morning meeting we were expecting a trend day from the market.  Whether that move was above the 113.20 area or below 112 was insignificant.  What was important was knowing how you were going to trade that scenario if it happened.  Our overall bias was to the long side so if we broke 113.20 we were going to trade that scenario with higher expectations.  The important thing was to have your list of strong stocks and levels that you wanted to get involved at so if the market broke there would be no hesitation.  Once the level in the SPY broke and held the long side was the only trade it was just a matter of getting involved with the proper share size. 

Our desk made most of our money in Best Buy(BBY), Caterpillar (CAT), and American Express(AXP).  This was the type of day to make your week or if properly sized your month.  Last week was a grind while today the market did what it was supposed to do. 

 

Remember preparation and setting up your day is the key.  Identify strong and weak stocks.  Identify and set alerts for the important levels.  Write down what you are going to do at these levels.  Spend your day executing not coming up with trading ideas.  Have a good night and best of luck tomorrow. 

Kyle

$SPY in a tough trading area

Trading the $SPY for the last 7  days long has been relatively easy. Technically speaking it is text book. Large range days with good volume on rallies. Significantly lighter volume on days with small price ranges.

We rallied into the 200SMA on the daily chart last week @$111.78 and paused, with everyone looking at the same charts this created a lot of indecision. (again, perfect technical structure)

Keystone traders went home Friday with a game plan with two scenarios; what do I trade if the 200SMA holds as resistance and what do I trade if buyers some back strong and this significant level gets taken out?

Based on the light volume pause for the better part of 3 days (after the violent momentum rally) we expected a bullish day (this was not a guess it is technical analysis 101). However if we did get the bullish stampede there was an even bigger level to be aware of in the SPY at just over $113.

This $113 is the level that excites the sellers to come off the sidelines, it has been the trigger since just after the flash crash in May.

Now here is the situation you are faced with as a trader: long (being a buyer) is the correct trade, but there is limited upside potential to the trade taking into consideration this mornings gap to the upside.

What do you do? This is the zone where a lot of money is lost. The buying ideas are still valid but have less profit potential but there are not that many solid short sale scenarios.

I will ask again, what do you do?

Most inexperienced traders who feel the longs are not following through will put out short sale probes or actually in allocate capital to a full short sale position (because longs seem to have used up all their energy).

The correct play here is to be patient on the longs for new levels or better risk reward (from lower levels, which would be a flag on a daily chart) or do nothing. Doing nothing is the hardest thing to do.

Remember, not wanting to be long is not necessarily a reason to be a short seller.